Conf = NESCAC ------ State = A
Mascot = Mammoths ------ Coach = Sean WoodsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.5497284 home-field advantage = -0.54 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 228 H Hamilton NESCAC ( 9- 8, 92.1) 9- 5 307 A Tufts NESCAC (21- 1, 99.9) 8-15 311 H Babson NEWMAC (18- 3, 94.6) 11-15 314 H Bates NESCAC (12- 6, 94.2) 20- 8 318 N Swarthmore Centennial (11- 8, 90.1) 13-11 321 N Christopher Newport CLC (18- 4, 93.2) 9-12 328 A Bowdoin NESCAC (19- 2, 96.9) 9-12 401 A Wesleyan NESCAC (14- 5, 95.0) 4-16 404 H Colby NESCAC ( 3-10, 88.5) 11-10 408 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 5- 9, 89.6) 11- 8 411 H Williams NESCAC ( 8-10, 92.1) 10- 9 415 H RPI Liberty Leagu ( 9- 8, 89.3) 21- 9 418 A Middlebury NESCAC ( 9- 8, 93.7) 5-12 422 H Trinity NESCAC ( 6- 9, 91.1) 15- 7 425 H Bates NESCAC (12- 6, 94.2) 7-12 509 N Stevens MAC-Freedom (18- 3, 93.6) 13-14
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Hamilton 9- 5 4 1 + 2.99 307 A Tufts 8-15 -7 -7 0.00 311 H Babson 11-15 -4 -1 - -2.50 314 H Bates 20- 8 12 -1 +++ 8.02 318 N Swarthmore 13-11 2 2 -0.45 321 N Christopher Newport 9-12 -3 0 - -2.42 328 A Bowdoin 9-12 -3 -4 1.87 401 A Wesleyan 4-16 -12 -2 -- -4.03 404 H Colby 11-10 1 4 - -3.64 408 A Connecticut College 11- 8 3 2 0.56 411 H Williams 10- 9 1 1 -0.03 415 H RPI 21- 9 12 3 + 3.20 418 A Middlebury 5-12 -7 -1 -- -5.33 422 H Trinity 15- 7 8 2 ++ 4.96 425 H Bates 7-12 -5 -1 - -3.98 509 N Stevens 13-14 -1 -1 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A Wesleyan 4-16 -12 -2 -- -4.03 418 A Middlebury 5-12 -7 -1 -- -5.33 311 H Babson 11-15 -4 -1 - -2.50 321 N Christopher Newport 9-12 -3 0 - -2.42 404 H Colby 11-10 1 4 - -3.64 425 H Bates 7-12 -5 -1 - -3.98OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 H Bates 20- 8 12 -1 +++ 8.02 422 H Trinity 15- 7 8 2 ++ 4.96 228 H Hamilton 9- 5 4 1 + 2.99 415 H RPI 21- 9 12 3 + 3.20
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 92.60 Power Rank................. 14 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 83.60 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 2 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7117 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 14 RPI Rating............... .5975 RPI Rank................... 28 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 18 Selection sum ........... 92 Selection Rank ............ 23 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 0. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 23 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -50. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 50 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.7