Conf = NESCAC
Nickname = MA Mammoths Coach = Sean WoodsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.7978516 home-field advantage = -0.70 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 302 A Middlebury NESCAC (12- 9, 97.2) 11-17 306 A Springfield NEWMAC ( 7-10, 91.2) 16- 6 309 H Hamilton NESCAC ( 9- 7, 94.8) 17- 5 313 H Swarthmore Centennial (15- 3, 95.8) 14-11 316 H Colby NESCAC ( 6- 8, 91.8) 12- 7 320 A Gettysburg Centennial (10- 8, 94.2) 9- 8 330 N Lynchburg ODAC (16- 6, 96.3) 13-15 402 A Wesleyan NESCAC (15- 4, 97.4) 11-12 406 H Williams NESCAC ( 9- 7, 95.3) 12- 4 410 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 5- 9, 91.0) 14- 8 413 H Bates NESCAC ( 3-11, 90.3) 18- 9 415 A Bowdoin NESCAC (14- 6, 98.2) 8-19 417 H RPI Liberty Leagu (17- 3, 97.6) 14-12 420 A Tufts NESCAC (18- 3, 99.9) 13-14 424 H Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 7, 93.5) 6- 5 427 A Middlebury NESCAC (12- 9, 97.2) 6- 9
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 A Middlebury 11-17 -6 -1 -- -4.88 306 A Springfield 16- 6 10 4 + 2.08 309 H Hamilton 17- 5 12 2 ++ 4.31 313 H Swarthmore 14-11 3 1 1.34 316 H Colby 12- 7 5 5 -0.69 320 A Gettysburg 9- 8 1 1 -0.88 330 N Lynchburg 13-15 -2 0 - -2.45 402 A Wesleyan 11-12 -1 -1 0.34 406 H Williams 12- 4 8 2 ++ 4.86 410 A Connecticut College 14- 8 6 5 0.90 413 H Bates 18- 9 9 7 0.00 415 A Bowdoin 8-19 -11 -2 -- -4.90 417 H RPI 14-12 2 0 + 2.09 420 A Tufts 13-14 -1 -3 + 2.82 424 H Trinity 6- 5 1 3 - -2.98 427 A Middlebury 6- 9 -3 -1 -1.88UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 A Middlebury 11-17 -6 -1 -- -4.88 415 A Bowdoin 8-19 -11 -2 -- -4.90 330 N Lynchburg 13-15 -2 0 - -2.45 424 H Trinity 6- 5 1 3 - -2.98OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 309 H Hamilton 17- 5 12 2 ++ 4.31 406 H Williams 12- 4 8 2 ++ 4.86 306 A Springfield 16- 6 10 4 + 2.08 417 H RPI 14-12 2 0 + 2.09 420 A Tufts 13-14 -1 -3 + 2.82
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 96.78 Power Rank................. 10 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 88.36 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 4 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6817 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 24 RPI Rating............... .6132 RPI Rank................... 28 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 16 Selection sum ........... 82 Selection Rank ............ 25 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 30. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 16 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -10. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 30 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.0